Sawasdee – April 27, 2022

Likely to decline on economic concerns

Market outlook & strategy
The SET is on a downtrend and is seen to have downside due to negative factors from: 1) rapid steps up in interest rate by the Fed accompanied by rapid reduction in the balance sheet; and 2) lockdown in China due to COVID-19 outbreak. Both factors raise concerns about the economy. The next supports are at 1,660 and 1,650 with a limited recovery which has resistances of 1,676 and 1,683. We suggest a “Selective Buy” strategy of selecting good-quality defensive stocks with positive drivers to reduce portfolio volatility.

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Industry analysis
Petrochemicals – Clouded by weaker global economic outlook 
 
Company analysis
HMPRO – 1Q22: In line with estimates –  Outperform 
OSP – Down YoY, QoQ in 1Q22F –  Outperform 
SCGP – 1Q22: In line with estimates –  Outperform