Sawasdee – May 5, 2022

Limited recovery and still has downside

Market today
We expect the SET to rebound after US markets surged on the FOMC’s restraint in raising rate by a half point rather than 75 bps. Nevertheless, recovery is still limited at a resistance range of 1,660–1,670, and there is a downside from worries over an economic slowdown, pulled down by cost of energy and high inflation while monetary policy is tightening. Supports are at 1,650 and 1,640.

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Industry analysis
Petrochemicals – Lower naphtha cost to be short-lived 
 
Company analysis
ASP – 1Q22: In line; attractive dividend yield – Outperform
DCC – 1Q22: In line with market estimates – Neutral
GLOBAL – 1Q22: Slightly above market estimates – Neutral
LH – Slight YoY rise in 1Q22F with a fall QoQ – Outperform
SAWAD – Group restructuring, BFIT gives up license – Outperform
ZEN – Preview 1Q22: Improving YoY but down QoQ – Outperform