Sawasdee – May 11, 2022

Rebound but upside limited, follow US inflation

Market today
We expect the SET to continue to rebound, though the lack of supporting factors limits upside, with a resistance range of 1,630 and 1,640; it continues to battle negatives including a slow economy and high inflation. Key factor is US April inflation report to be released in the US on Thursday, key to the Fed’s decision whether or not to raise interest rate. The SET’s short-term support range is 1,612 and 1,600, and it will drop if it falls below that.

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Industry analysis
Petrochemicals – Slower market continues to depress spread
 
Company analysis
ADVANC  – 1Q22: In line with consensus –  Outperform 
AP  – 1Q22: Earnings at a record high –  Outperform 
BJC – 1Q22: Slightly above estimates – Outperform
GGC – 1Q22: Profit good, as expected – Neutral
IRPC – 1Q22: Weak profit was in line – Neutral
MAKRO – 1Q22: Below estimates on Lotus’s operation – Outperform  
MTC – 1Q22: Beat on less provisions despite NPLs up – Outperform  
SPALI – 1Q22: Net profit misses estimates – Neutral
THREL – 1Q22: Beat on below-usual combined ratio – Neutral